Election 2024: Bawumia ahead in presidential poll, NDC leads party rankings – Survey

A recent survey conducted by renowned political analyst, Professor Smart Sarpong, has revealed a highly competitive political landscape in Ghana, ahead of the upcoming elections.

The National Democratic Congress (NDC) appears to be leading the pack, with 38.8% of voters indicating their support, closely followed by the New Patriotic Party (NPP) at 34.5%.

The comprehensive survey, which covered all 16 regions and 275 constituencies, involved a sample size of 59,547 respondents, proportionally representative of the 2020 voter register. The findings suggest that a significant 23.1% of voters remain undecided, potentially holding the key to the election’s outcome. Smaller parties collectively garnered a modest 3.6% support.

However, when it comes to preferred presidential candidates, the survey reveals a different trend. Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia of the NPP leads the pack with 38.9% support, closely followed by John Dramani Mahama of the NDC at 36.1%. Undecided voters constitute 21.4%, while other candidates collectively account for 3.6%.

The survey also probed into the factors influencing voter decisions, with competence emerging as the top consideration at 50.3%. Track records of presidential candidates came second at 22.5%, followed by party affiliation at 19.1%. Interestingly, 3.7% of respondents admitted that financial inducements could sway their vote.

Unemployment emerged as the most pressing issue, with 21.1% of respondents citing it as their primary concern. Economic improvements, including issues like poverty, inflation, and economic growth, were also high on the agenda, with a cumulative 33.7% of respondents expressing concerns. Poor infrastructure, illegal mining, LGBTQ rights, corruption, and poor sanitation were also identified as critical issues.

The survey’s findings suggest a highly contested election, with both major parties having a significant share of support. The undecided voters and smaller parties could potentially play a crucial role in the outcome.

Click here to read Prof Smarts full survey report

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